最適化戦略momentum-screen
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Quant Analysis ResultMomentum ScreenRun Ready

Momentum Screen

Select holdings by historically observable momentum, targeting roughly one quarter of each period's original member count and no more than 20 names; when a period has over 100 members, pre-rank to the top 50 first.

AI Summary

Explosive backtested returns, but the current optimized portfolio is effectively a single high-beta Consumer Discretionary bet.

Annualized Return
72.38%
Annualized return
Alpha
59.04%
Active return
Sharpe
1.09
Risk-adjusted return
Beta
1.52
Market sensitivity
Max Drawdown
-73.34%
Maximum drawdown
Top 5
100.00%
Top-5 concentration
Top 10
100.00%
Top-10 concentration
Top 20
100.00%
Top-20 concentration

Portfolio Snapshot

Current optimized weights for the selected default session.

SymbolNameSectorWeightDiff
CVNACarvana Co.Consumer Discretionary100.00%+16.75

Sector Exposure

  • Consumer Discretionary100.00%

Weight Changes

Notable position adjustments in the latest snapshot.

  • CVNACarvana Co.100.00% (+16.75)

Performance vs Benchmark

Strategy NAV vs benchmark — hover for exact values.

Momentum ScreenBenchmark

Alpha Trend

Excess return vs benchmark over time.

Alpha (positive)Alpha (negative)

Drawdown Trend

Underwater curve and peak drawdown marker.

Max DD: -73.34%(Mar 20)

Turnover Trend

Per-period turnover with average reference.

Avg turnover: 37.52Peak: 200.20

Strategy Comparison

All four default strategies side-by-side.

StrategyAnnualizedAlphaSharpeMax DD
Baseline32.42%23.07%0.93-66.04%
Momentum Screen72.38%59.04%1.09-73.34%
Basic Value Screen-9.78%-4.74%0.27-98.99%
Combo Equal Screen17.94%12.36%0.89-46.49%

vs Baseline: Annualized +39.95 · Alpha +35.98 · Sharpe +0.16

Recent Periods

Per-period performance vs benchmark.

PeriodStrategyBenchmarkExcessTurnoverTrades
2022-12-31-25.19%-0.25%-24.93100.001
2023-03-31255.61%7.90%+247.71200.202
2023-06-30-30.30%-1.77%-28.530.081
2023-09-300.00%10.11%-10.11100.001
2023-12-31123.50%4.96%+118.54100.001
2024-03-3121.00%2.31%+18.680.061
2024-06-3069.00%9.83%+59.170.001
2024-09-3013.29%2.76%+10.530.001
2024-12-317.08%-3.63%+10.700.001
2025-03-3117.64%9.22%+8.420.001
2025-06-30-7.02%4.20%-11.220.001
2025-09-300.00%1.49%-1.49100.001

Strategy Q&A

Pre-generated questions and answers about this strategy.

  • momentum13FChat AI

    Which names did the momentum screen keep, and how does that reflect a momentum tilt?

    The momentum screen currently keeps only one name: CVNA at 100.0% weight, up from an original 83.25%, a +16.75 active-weight increase. That is the purest possible momentum tilt because the screen removed all diversification and concentrated entirely in the strongest observable trend candidate from the original set. The artifact summary explicitly says the optimized portfolio is effectively a single high-beta Consumer Discretionary bet.

    strategyViews.momentum-screen.topHoldingsstrategyViews.momentum-screen.latestChangesstrategyViews.momentum-screen.summary

    Ask which original holdings were excluded by the momentum screen and whether CVNA’s trend signal was persistent or concentrated in a few windows.

  • momentum13FChat AI

    Did the momentum screen improve returns enough to justify its drawdown and concentration risk?

    It improved headline returns dramatically, but only by taking far more concentration and drawdown risk. Annualized return rose to 72.38% from the baseline’s 32.42%, alpha to 59.04 from 23.07, and total return to 7112.27 from 808.52. Sharpe improved modestly to 1.09 from 0.93, but max drawdown worsened to -73.34% from -66.04%, beta jumped to 1.52 from 0.88, and the portfolio became 100% CVNA. So the screen improved return enough mathematically, but the risk profile became much harder to justify for anyone who cannot tolerate single-stock collapse risk.

    strategyViews.momentum-screen.metricsstrategyViews.momentum-screen.metricDeltastrategyViews.baseline.metricsstrategyViews.momentum-screen.concentration

    Ask for a side-by-side stress comparison of baseline versus momentum during the worst CVNA drawdowns.

  • momentum13FChat AI

    Which periods or holdings most clearly explain the momentum screen's result?

    The result is overwhelmingly explained by CVNA and by a few outsized quarters. CVNA is 100.0% of the current portfolio. In period performance, 2023-03-31 returned 255.61% versus SPY’s 7.90% (+247.71 excess), and 2023-12-31 returned 123.50% versus 4.96% (+118.54 excess). On the other hand, 2022-12-31 lost -25.19% versus -0.25%, and 2023-09-30 returned 0.0% versus SPY’s 10.11%, showing how the single-name structure can completely miss or lag periods as well.

    strategyViews.momentum-screen.topHoldingsstrategyViews.momentum-screen.periodPerformance

    Ask for the exact dates around the 2023-03 and 2023-12 surges to see how much of the momentum backtest came from short bursts in CVNA.

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