Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Trust 13F holdings and portfolio analysis

已就緒Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Trust · Bill Gates

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Baseline

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Baselinetested
策略問答參考3 條參考問答

基於這隻基金最新一期數據預生成的問答,可直接作為對話上下文使用。

baseline13FChat AI
What does directly following the disclosed baseline portfolio expose an investor to?

Directly following the baseline exposes an investor to a very top-heavy portfolio with sector clustering and filing-lag implementation risk. In the baseline artifact, Berkshire Hathaway is 32.38%, Waste Management 21.10%, Microsoft 12.35%, and Caterpillar 12.08%; the top five total 83.41% and top 10 reach 96.49%. Sector weights are also concentrated in Industrials at 42.56% and Financials at 32.38%, with Technology another 12.35%. That structure helped produce 14.93% annualized return, but it leaves performance heavily dependent on a few names and delayed 13F replication.

Inspect the baseline topHoldings and sectorWeights together to see whether your main concern is single-name concentration or industrial/financial exposure.
baseline13FChat AI
Which recent baseline periods best explain the risk-return trade-off?

The recent periods that best show the trade-off are 2024-12-31, 2025-03-31, and 2025-09-30. In 2024-12-31 the baseline returned 3.75% versus SPY at -3.63%, a +7.37 point excess return with only 7.03 turnover. But in 2025-03-31 it returned 4.76% versus SPY’s 9.22%, a -4.46 point excess result, and in 2025-09-30 it gained just 0.61% versus 1.49% for SPY with turnover jumping to 28.82. Those periods show the appeal of occasional strong downside-relative outperformance, but also the cost of lag, concentration, and turnover sensitivity when the benchmark leads.

Sort the baseline periodPerformance table by optimizedExcess and turnover to identify when the strategy helped most and when lag hurt most.
baseline13FChat AI
What should a user inspect next before deciding whether the baseline is acceptable?

A user should inspect three things next: concentration, turnover spikes, and the drawdown path versus SPY. Concentration is high, with top five at 83.41% in the baseline artifact. Turnover is usually moderate but spikes matter, especially 78.07 in 2022-09-30 and 28.82 in 2025-09-30, which can raise slippage and execution risk. Finally, despite beta of 0.78, max drawdown still reached -27.78, so the navSeries and drawdownSeries should be checked to understand whether that risk profile is tolerable for a concentrated 13F strategy.

Plot the baseline drawdownSeries next to turnoverSeries and compare it with SPY to see whether the concentration risk matches your tolerance.
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