Royce & Associates, LP 13F holdings and portfolio analysis
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Baseline
Mensagens de análiseQ&A pré-gerado sobre este fundo. Use como contexto de referência para sua própria análise.
Following Baseline means accepting the manager's disclosed sizing almost directly. Here that means broadly spread position sizing: top 5 5.91%, top 10 10.34%, top 20 17.44%, with ACA 1.45%, KWR 1.15%, JBTM 1.11%, ESAB 1.11%, MKSI 1.09%, AGO 0.98%. The baseline result is return 2.42%, alpha 0.03%, beta 0.17, Sharpe 0.66, Sortino 0.86, max drawdown -7.64%. That is the right reference case, but it is not automatically the safest case because the largest names and sector mix (Industrials 30.59%, Information Technology 17.93%, Financials 17.11%, Consumer Discretionary 11.97%) still dominate the realized path.
The period rows show the character of the baseline. The strongest relative period was 2024-12-31 (-1.20% vs SPY -3.63%, excess 2.43%, turnover 2.85%); the weakest was 2023-09-30 (1.27% vs SPY 10.11%, excess -8.83%, turnover 3.09%). The latest rows (2025-03-31 (1.91% vs SPY 9.22%, excess -7.31%, turnover 2.94%); 2025-06-30 (0.15% vs SPY 4.20%, excess -4.05%, turnover 3.76%); 2025-09-30 (0.22% vs SPY 1.49%, excess -1.26%, turnover 2.95%)) show whether recent results are confirming or reversing the long-term profile.
Before accepting Baseline, I would inspect three things: whether ACA 1.45%, KWR 1.15%, JBTM 1.11%, ESAB 1.11% still have current theses, whether recent changes such as no large named moves and no large named moves indicate a shift, and whether max drawdown of -7.64% is acceptable for the user's risk budget.