Atlantic Investment Management, Inc. 13F holdings and portfolio analysis

ProntoAtlantic Investment Management, Inc. · Alex Roepers

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Baseline

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Baselinetested
Riferimento Q&A strategia3 Q&A di riferimento

Q&A pre-generati su questo fondo. Usa come contesto di riferimento per la tua analisi.

baseline13FChat AI
What does directly following the disclosed baseline portfolio expose an investor to?

Directly following the baseline means accepting a highly concentrated cyclical 13F clone with very limited diversification. The baseline top 5 holdings represent 67.47% and the top 10 represent 99.98%, with AXTA at 18.63%, KEX at 13.83%, FLS at 12.26%, APTV at 11.82%, and OSK at 10.93%. Sector exposure in the baseline artifact is concentrated in Industrials (41.78%), Materials (25.66%), Consumer Discretionary (18.62%), and Energy (10.13%), leaving only 3.79% in Consumer Staples. That structure produced just 55.84% total return with a -38.98% max drawdown and negative -3.60 alpha versus SPY.

In the app, compare the baseline against an equal-weighted version to see how much of the risk comes from stock selection versus top-heavy weights.
baseline13FChat AI
Which recent baseline periods best explain the risk-return trade-off?

The single reported baseline period starting 2016-03-31 explains the whole trade-off: it generated 55.84% total return versus SPY's 229.78%, so investors gave up 173.94 percentage points of return while still enduring a -38.98% max drawdown. The NAV path shows a sharp pandemic decline from around 120.48 on 2020-01-02 to 81.76 on 2020-03-18, then a long recovery that still did not produce competitive long-run performance. More recently, the baseline NAV also fell from 145.71 on 2025-04-02 to 129.22 on 2025-04-08 before rebounding, which reinforces that this portfolio can still behave like a concentrated cyclical book during market stress. So the trade-off is best understood as lower beta but still severe drawdowns and clear long-run underperformance.

In the app, zoom into the 2020 and 2025 selloffs on the baseline NAV chart and identify which holdings likely drove the biggest downside swings.
baseline13FChat AI
What should a user inspect next before deciding whether the baseline is acceptable?

A user should inspect three things next: concentration, sector cyclicality, and turnover under filing lag. Concentration is the first issue because the baseline top 5 are 67.47% and top 10 are 99.98%. Sector cyclicality is the second because Industrials, Materials, Consumer Discretionary, and Energy together account for 96.19% in the baseline artifact. The third is implementation friction: turnover was 53.62 with 49 trades, while the risk notes explicitly say the portfolio is observed with disclosure lag, which matters for a 13F follower. Those checks are critical before accepting a portfolio with 4.73% annualized return, -3.60 alpha, and -38.98% max drawdown.

In the app, ask whether a capped-weight or sector-balanced variant could keep Atlantic's core names while reducing lag-driven concentration risk.
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