Cantillon Capital Management LLC 13F holdings and portfolio analysis

ListoCantillon Capital Management LLC · William Von Mueffling

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Baseline

Mensajes de análisis
Rama:
Baselinetested
Referencia de preguntas y respuestas de estrategia3 preguntas de referencia

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baseline13FChat AI
What does directly following the disclosed baseline portfolio expose an investor to?

Following Baseline means accepting the manager's disclosed sizing almost directly. Here that means moderate concentration rather than broad index-like exposure: top 5 31.68%, top 10 50.10%, top 20 76.60%, with AVGO 9.32%, GOOGL 7.72%, SPGI 5.37%, IBKR 4.80%, AMAT 4.47%, CBRE 4.19%. The baseline result is return 14.16%, alpha 1.58%, beta 0.94, Sharpe 0.83, Sortino 1.03, max drawdown -31.63%. That is the right reference case, but it is not automatically the safest case because the largest names and sector mix (Financials 29.42%, Information Technology 25.36%, Communication Services 12.95%, Industrials 11.58%) still dominate the realized path.

Compare Baseline concentration and drawdown with each screen.
baseline13FChat AI
Which recent baseline periods best explain the risk-return trade-off?

The period rows show the character of the baseline. The strongest relative period was 2024-09-30 (6.81% vs SPY 2.76%, excess 4.05%, turnover 13.56%); the weakest was 2024-06-30 (6.37% vs SPY 9.83%, excess -3.46%, turnover 18.05%). The latest rows (2025-03-31 (10.45% vs SPY 9.22%, excess 1.23%, turnover 14.44%); 2025-06-30 (1.07% vs SPY 4.20%, excess -3.13%, turnover 9.85%); 2025-09-30 (2.13% vs SPY 1.49%, excess 0.65%, turnover 9.30%)) show whether recent results are confirming or reversing the long-term profile.

Rank recent baseline periods by excess return and turnover.
baseline13FChat AI
What should a user inspect next before deciding whether the baseline is acceptable?

Before accepting Baseline, I would inspect three things: whether AVGO 9.32%, GOOGL 7.72%, SPGI 5.37%, IBKR 4.80% still have current theses, whether recent changes such as no large named moves and no large named moves indicate a shift, and whether max drawdown of -31.63% is acceptable for the user's risk budget.

Review the largest baseline holdings and explain whether each still deserves its weight.
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